...10% of 100k each year is gambling money in crypto or individual stocks. Everything else is in S&P 500....
Those are two way different things in my eyes. Individual stocks could be Apple, Google, J&J, Microsoft, Walmart, etc. That is far from gambling... that's nearly the same as index funds... simply picking Fortune 500 or 100 or even 50 companies to outperform S&P, loading your portfolio a bit heavier on those than SPY or VOO would. For example, if I did 80% S&P, 10% Amazon, 10% Exxon... it will either best or lag 100% S&P, but it's is definitely not gambling.
If you mean 'individual stocks' in terms of pharma startup, new tech, WSB stuff like GameStop, other small caps that aren't yet profitable, etc... then yeah, I suppose those are more of a dice roll that'll possibly 5x or 10x or get bought out... or might go to zero. I wouldn't make that any more than a tiny % of one's portfolio, but it depends on risk tolerance, I suppose.
Crypto is something entirely different... only reason to buy it for $10 is due to hope someone else will buy it from you at $500 or $1000 or whatever. At this point, that's its value - or lack thereof. There were issues all along as to what crypto even is and its supply/create, what it'll be used for. Now, with most of the crypto losing half their value or more in this year, there is a
big problem in those markets now since many people are down significant money... and looking to dump as soon as they have a chance to break even again. I would imagine you need to really stay up on the news and public perception of the value of it... no quantitative metrics, all supply/demand. At this point, I sure don't get crypto for anyone who has already won the game. I do get the allure for ppl who making paramedic, teacher, etc money who are swinging hard for investment home runs, but that's just not a great path for most docs or other 100k+ ppl who can win the game - unless they screw it up.
And also, why not 100k of individual (let partner do own 401/403 and other stuff). If gross pay doesn't allow $100k invest, one can always do $100k or close of invest + debt paydown. Seriously, no joke... returns matter, but savings rate % is the main thing to FIRE.
Invest in s&p500. Most doctors end up buying businesses like motels and restaurants and end up losing that money. Unless you have an SO or experience in running these businesses you are not gonna make profit. Rental units are always a solid investment if you have the time. Otherwise it's tough to beat the market in the long term.
Yep, won't ever go wrong with index funds. It is always a fine play if you don't have good S&P singles to buy or time to do research.
It's a safe bet to take average returns for most of the portfolio. It lets one set and forget, for sure. Most docs have won the game - unless they screw it up badly; they can just play it relatively safe, keep savings rate % as high as possible, hit singles and even bunts and track towards pretty good retirement or even FIRE if they reign in spending.